September 2016 coldest in South West Australia since 1897
Regardless of how many stations are contributing to the averages in any given year (nine in 1897 increasing to 25 since 1975), mean raw averages show the coldest September was in 2016 at 12.12C, followed by September 1903 at 12.40C, followed by the 118 warmer Septembers. Six of the 15 stations including Perth had their coldest September mean temperature since 1897, both in the unadjusted raw and homogenised ACORN datasets. Among the seven ACORN stations south of and including Geraldton that all had a starting year of 1897 (or earlier but using the Perth 1897 benchmark for all stations, meaning it’s highly likely all temperatures were recorded in Stephenson screens), September 2016 was the second coldest since 1897. The seven weather stations averaged 12.38C in September 1992 compared to 12.47C in September 2016, but September 1992 wasn’t the coldest when the eight other stations are included in that year’s averages. Among the 18 ACORN stations south of and including Carnarvon, September 2016 was the third coldest since 1897 - the 1903 record being 0.08C colder. Among all 25 WA ACORN stations, September 2016 had the 23rd coldest raw mean temperature since 1897. However, this is a comparison of just nine stations open in 1897 with all 25 as of 1975. Among all 25 WA ACORN stations across the state, September 2016 was the second coldest since 1975, the coldest being 1978 which was 0.21C colder than September 2016. Several far northern WA stations had a very hot September 2016, Kalumburu setting a new record mean heat for the month. Using adjusted ACORN rather than raw temperatures among the 15 WA stations south of and including Geraldton, September 2016 was the coldest since 1910 - beating the previous 1992 record for the coldest September mean by 0.3C based on ACORN adjusted temperatures. Among the nine ACORN stations south of and including Geraldton that all had a starting year of 1910, September 2016 was the coldest since 1910 using ACORN temperatures (2016 11.83C, 1969 12.06C).
4th coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (1969 coldest at 11.20C, 2016 11.42C) 3rd coldest September min since 1897 in raw (1968 coldest at 6.6C, 2016 6.79C) 8th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1992 coldest at 15.2C, 2016 16.05C)
5th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1952 coldest at 6.2C, 2016 6.79C) 9th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 15.2C, 2016 16.05C)
Coldest September mean since 1901 in raw (2016 9.81C, 1969 9.95C) 6th coldest September min since 1901 in raw (1969 coldest at 2.4C, 2016 4.01C) Equal 2nd coldest September max since 1901 in raw (1917 coldest at 15.5C, 2016 15.6C, 1915 15.6C)
6th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1969 coldest at 2.4C, 2016 4.01C) Equal coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (2016 15.6C, 1917 15.6C)
4th warmest September mean since 1897 in raw (1978 coldest at 23.45C, 2016 25.69C) 2nd warmest September min since 1897 in raw (1946 coldest at 15.9C, 2016 20.92C) 75th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1997 coldest at 29.2C, 2016 32.26C)
86th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (2011 coldest at 17.0C, 2016 20.92C) 71st coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1917 coldest at 29.1C, 2016 32.26C)
4th coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (1971 coldest at 12.95C, 2016 13.15C) 5th coldest September min since 1897 in raw (1971 coldest at 9.9C, 2016 10.47C) 6th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1917 coldest at 15.5C, 2016 15.82C)
2nd coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1971 coldest at 10.2C, 2016 10.47C) 8th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1915 coldest at 15.3C, 2016 15.82C)
17th coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (1966 coldest at 17.4C, 2016 18.27C) 9th coldest September min since 1897 in raw (1897 coldest at 9.2C, 2016 12.63C) 42nd coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1915 coldest at 21.9C, 2016 23.91C)
25th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1929 coldest at 11.0C, 2016 12.63C) 25th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1915 coldest at 22.5C, 2016 23.91C)
Coldest September mean since 1950 in raw (2016 10.63C, 2009 11.70C) Coldest September min since 1950 in raw (2016 2.62C, 2010 4.3C) 6th coldest September max since 1950 in raw (1992 coldest at 17.8C, 2016 18.63C)
Coldest September min since 1950 in ACORN (2016 2.62C, 2004 3.4C) 9th coldest September max since 1950 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 17.3C, 2016 18.63C)
Coldest September mean since 1955 in raw (2016 11.82C, 1992 12.6C) Coldest September min since 1955 in raw (2016 4.75C, 2009 6.3C) 2nd coldest September max since 1955 in raw (1992 coldest at 17.9C, 2016 18.89C)
Coldest September min since 1957 in ACORN (2016 4.75C, 2009 6.3C) 2nd coldest September max since 1957 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 17.9C, 2016 18.89C)
27th coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (1905 coldest at 11.65C, 2016 13.44C) 38th coldest September min since 1897 in raw (1942 coldest at 6.4C, 2016 8.67C) 23rd coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1992 coldest at 16.3C, 2016 18.2C)
23rd coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1942 coldest at 6.8C, 2016 8.67C) 28th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 16.0C, 2016 18.2C)
17th coldest September mean since 1910 in raw (1958 coldest at 12.25C, 2016 14.27C) 11th coldest September min since 1910 in raw (1931 coldest at6.5C, 2016 7.90C) 39th coldest September max since 1910 in raw (1958 coldest at 17.2C, 2016 20.63C)
13th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1931 coldest at 6.0C, 2016 7.9C) 19th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (2010 coldest at 17.8C, 2016 20.63C)
13th coldest September mean since 1946 in raw (1968 coldest at 12.70C, 2016 13.87C) 5th coldest September min since 1946 in raw (1968 coldest at 3.8C, 2016 5.75C) 15th coldest September max since 1946 in raw (2010 coldest at 18.6C, 2016 21.99C)
2nd coldest September min since 1946 in ACORN (1968 coldest at 4.8C, 2016 5.75C) 12th coldest September max since 1946 in ACORN (2010 coldest at 18.6C, 2016 21.99C)
Coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (2016 13.58C, 1966 13.9C) Coldest September min since 1897 in raw (2016 6.72C, 1967 7.3C) 13th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1992 coldest at 19.6C, 2016 20.44C)
Coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (2016 6.72C, 1967 7.3C) 13th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1915 coldest at 19.6C, 2016 20.44C)
10th coldest September mean since 1956 in raw (1978 coldest at 16.15C, 2016 18.02C) 5th coldest September min since 1956 in raw (1978 coldest at 9.4C, 2016 10.43C) 14th coldest September max since 1956 in raw (1978 coldest at 22.9C, 2016 25.60C)
6th coldest September min since 1956 in ACORN (1978 coldest at 8.7C, 2016 10.43C) 14th coldest September max since 1956 in ACORN (1978 coldest at 22.9C, 2016 25.60C)
8th warmest September mean since 1898 in raw (1925 coldest at 21.35C, 2016 28.25C) 6th warmest September min since 1898 in raw (1923 coldest at 11.7C, 2016 21.19C) 16th warmest September max since 1898 in raw (1925 coldest at 30.7C, 2016 35.31C)
7th warmest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1913 coldest at 15.6C, 2016 21.19C) 21st warmest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1925 coldest at 29.9C, 2016 35.31C)
Warmest September mean since 1941 in raw (2011 coldest at 25.1C, 2016 30.0C) 2nd warmest September min since 1941 in raw (1958 coldest at 15.0C, 2016 24.1C) Warmest September max since 1941 in raw (1941 coldest at 33.5C, 2016 37.54C)
2nd warmest September min since 1941 in ACORN (1958 coldest at 14.3C, 2016 22.45C) Warmest September max since 1941 in ACORN (2004 coldest at 33.3C, 2016 37.54C)
3rd coldest September mean since 1975 in raw (1992 coldest at 19.80C, 2016 20.34C) Coldest September min since 1975 in raw (2016 12.04, 1993 12.5C) 14th coldest September max since 1975 in raw (1992 coldest at 26.6C, 2016 28.63C)
Coldest September min since 1975 in ACORN (2016 12.04, 1993 12.5C) 14th coldest September max since 1975 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 26.60C, 2016 28.63C)
5th coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (1992 coldest at 12.00C, 2016 13.09C) Coldest September min since 1897 in raw (2016 5.72, 1968 6.0C) 13th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1992 coldest at 17.7C, 2016 20.46C)
Coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (2016 5.72, 1919 6.6C) 12th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 17.70C, 2016 20.46C)
Coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (2016 9.61, 1969 10.3C) 2nd coldest September min since 1897 in raw (2010 coldest at 4.0C, 2016 4.14C) Coldest September max since 1897 in raw (2016 15.08, 1992 15.12C)
2nd coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (2010 coldest at 4.0C, 2016 4.14C) 3rd coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1915 coldest at 14.80C, 2016 15.08C)
55th coldest September mean since 1901 in raw (coldest 1978 at 22.60C, 2016 25.07C) 72nd coldest September min since 1901 in raw (1903 coldest at 12.6C, 2016 17.12C) 33rd coldest September max since 1901 in raw (1978 coldest at 30.4C, 2016 33.02C)
72nd coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1966 coldest at 13.1C, 2016 17.12C) 38th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1925 coldest at 30.60C, 2016 33.02C)
13th coldest September mean since 1927 in raw (1931 coldest at 16.2C, 2016 17.10C) 8th coldest September min since 1927 in raw (1931 coldest at 7.6C, 2016 9.64C) 21st coldest September max since 1927 in raw (1992 coldest at 22.7C, 2016 24.55C)
15th coldest September min since 1927 in ACORN (1931 coldest at 8.5C, 2016 9.64C) 36th coldest September max since 1927 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 21.6C, 2016 24.55C)
6th coldest September mean since 1913 in raw (1917 coldest at 11.3C, 2016 11.55C) 5th coldest September min since 1913 in raw (1913 coldest at 2.6C, 2016 4.3C) 13th coldest September max since 1913 in raw (1992 coldest at 16.7C, 2016 18.8C)
4th coldest September min since 1915 in ACORN (1919 coldest at 3.0C, 2016 4.3C) 14th coldest September max since 1915 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 16.8C, 2016 18.8C)
2nd coldest September mean since 1925 in raw (1968 coldest at 13.26C, 2016 13.27C) 2nd coldest September min since 1925 in raw (1929 coldest at 5.35C, 2016 5.42C) 11th coldest September max since 1925 in raw (1968 coldest at 19.7C, 2016 21.11C)
Coldest September min since 1925 in ACORN (2016 5.42C, 1929 5.6C) 16th coldest September max since 1925 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 19.1C, 2016 21.11C)
Coldest September mean since 1897 in raw (2016 13.02C, 1906 13.03C) Coldest September min since 1897 in raw ((2016 7.6C, 2004 8.0C) 19th coldest September max since 1897 in raw (1915 coldest at 16.8C, 2016 18.5C)
4th coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1969 coldest at 6.8C, 2016 7.56C) 4th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1915 coldest at 17.70C, 2016 18.48C)
69th coldest September mean since 1913 in raw (1978 coldest at 21.7C, 2016 24.30C) 82nd coldest September min since 1913 in raw ((1966 coldest at 13.0C, 2016 17.08C) 50th coldest September max since 1913 in raw (1915 coldest at 28.1C, 2016 31.51C)
6th warmest September min since 1913 in ACORN (1925 coldest at 12.4C, 2016 17.08C) 53rd coldest September max since 1913 in ACORN (1984 coldest at 28.10C, 2016 31.51C)
2nd coldest September mean since 1902 in raw (1903 coldest at 5.6C, 2016 9.32C) 4th coldest September min since 1902 in raw ((1903 coldest at -0.3C, 2016 2.7C) 3rd coldest September max since 1902 in raw (1903 coldest at 11.50C, 2016 15.94C)
2nd coldest September min since 1910 in ACORN (1969 coldest at 1.8C, 2016 2.70C) 5th coldest September max since 1910 in ACORN (1992 coldest at 15.70C, 2016 15.94C)
25th coldest September mean since 1952 in raw (1978 coldest at 21.4C, 2016 23.51C) 25th coldest September min since 1952 in raw ((1953 coldest at 13.5C, 2016 16.24C) 22nd coldest September max since 1952 in raw (1978 coldest at 28.1C, 2016 30.77C)
24th coldest September min since 1952 in ACORN (1953 coldest at 13.5C, 2016 16.24C) 22nd coldest September max since 1952 in ACORN (1978 coldest at 28.10C, 2016 30.77C)
The coldest ever September in the south of WA was despite 2016 being described as the hottest ever year globally.
The BoM's September 2016 Monthly Climate Summary for WA lists 31 weather stations that had their coldest ever average minimum, eight that had their coldest ever average maximum, and 26 that had their coldest mean temperature on record. Five of the six ACORN stations above that in 2016 had record cold September min, max or mean are not included in the BoM lists. The BoM climate summary only compares September 2016 with the stations' existing short-term location records, most starting within the past 30 years, while the analysis on this page compares ACORN station raw and adjusted temperatures back to 1897. The climate summary states: "Observations for "Perth Metro" are taken from the current site at Mount Lawley (Bureau number 009225). Comparisons are made against combined data from the current site (which opened in early 1993) and the previous site at Perth Regional Office (009034), which ran from 1876 to early 1992." The summary lists Perth Metro’s September 2016 minimum of 7.6C as 2.0C below average. Perth Metro 1994-2015 had a mean minimum of 9.6C (9.5C if you include September 2016). The mean minimum of stations 9034 and 9225 from 1897 to 2015 was 10.1C (RO 9034 1897-1991 min was 10.3C). If Perth Metro comparisons are based on combined data from 9225 and 9034, September 2016 was 2.5C below average, not 2.0C.
The temperature maps below show global sea surface temperatures each January and September since 2008, with the area of interest to the west and south of Western Australia.
The charts below show closer detail of the cold SST formation off the south west coast in February 2016 and its monthly spread to September 2016 when record cold temperatures in southern WA coincided with severe storm, wind and flood damage in South Australia.
The table below is extracted from Australia's 1918 Year Book and shows climatological averages in Perth.
The tables below compare the 1897-1917 temperatures with 1994-2015 min and max readings at Perth Metro 9225 and Perth Airport 9021 (ACORN station).
The 1897-1917 averages are from Kings Park while the 1994-2015 averages are from Mt Lawley or Perth Airport. The location changes are influential but consistent and also applicable to the increasing maxima. Even with huge cooling ACORN adjustments to most months for the period 1910-1917, the 1994-2015 September average minimum was just 0.2C warmer at Perth Metro and 0.2C cooler at Perth Airport. Even with the cooling ACORN changes, mid-winter July minima was 0.3C warmer at Perth Metro and 0.1C warmer at Perth Airport a hundred years ago. These figures suggest a long term mid-year cooling in Perth minima, tied to declines in winter rainfall. Combined with very cold SST pushing chilled winds into the west and south of Australia, it is unsurprising that September 2016 was the coldest ever recorded in Perth and the southern half of Western Australia.
Before the coldest September on record, southern WA had a very cool winter. Eleven southern WA stations had their lowest winter mean maximum on record and 32 had their lowest winter mean maximum in at least 23 years. Five stations had their lowest mean temperature on record and eight had their lowest mean temperature in at least 20 years. At Perth Metro 9225 and Perth Regional Office 9034 dating back to 1897, the three months of August, September and October 2016 had the 6th coolest mean, 2nd coolest min and 36th coolest max:
On 30 January 2017, Perth Metro 9225 had its fifth coldest January maximum temperature since readings began at Perth Regional Office 9034 in 1897. At Perth Airport 9021, 30 January was the coldest January day since the station opened in 1945. On 9 February 2017, Perth Metro 9225 had by far its coldest February maximum temperature since readings began at Perth Regional Office 9034 in 1897, smashing the previous record by 1.6C. It was also the coldest February day ever recorded at Perth Airport, the maximum a whopping 2.7C colder than the previous record in 1991. It was also the coldest February day recorded since 1910 at all ACORN-SAT stations in WA (see analysis of coldest February day ever in WA). On 10 February 2017 at Perth Airport, it was the seventh coldest February day ever recorded. *
In January 2017, seven southern WA stations had their record lowest January daily maximum temperature, three had their lowest January mean daily maximum temperature in at least 20 years, four had their record lowest January temperature, two had their record lowest January mean minimum temperature, and three had their lowest January mean daily minimum temperature in at least 20 years. * Note: on 10 February 2017, the maximum temperature during daylight hours at Perth Metro was 20.5C, the tenth coldest February day since observations began at Perth Regional Office in 1897. At Perth Airport, the maximum temperature during daylight hours on 10 February 2017 was 20.2C, the third coldest February day since airport observations began in 1945. However, the maxima recorded by the Bureau of Meteorology for 10 February at Perth Metro were 22.4C at 8.37am on Saturday morning, and at Perth Airport 21.3C at 8.41am on Saturday morning. The BoM reports daily maximum temperature as the highest temperature in the 24 hours after 9am on any given date. These official temperatures have been used for comparisons in the table above, despite the Friday maxima happening on Saturday morning the following day. Top of page Home
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